Bitcoin price fractal points to bull trap that could send BTC below $100K

1 day ago

Escalating tensions successful the Middle East and an ominous Bitcoin illustration fractal could play a relation successful sending BTC terms backmost nether $100,000.

Bitcoin terms  fractal points to bull trap that could nonstop   BTC beneath  $100K

Key takeaway:

  • Bitcoin terms sits connected a slippery slope arsenic tensions successful the Middle East and investors’ determination to chopped hazard endanger a driblet nether $100,000.

Bitcoin (BTC) reached a play precocious of $110,653 connected Monday, but it is presently down 3.5%, dropping to a debased of $106,600 connected Thursday. Escalating tensions betwixt Iran and Israel, with reports of Israel perchance preparing subject enactment against Iran, person triggered a risk-off sentiment, with BTC posting a reaction.

From a method standpoint, the existent BTC correction looks routine. BTC prices jumped astir 10% betwixt June 6 and Tuesday, and a 3.5% dip tin beryllium considered normal. Bitcoin researcher Axel Adler Jr outlined a akin sentiment, explaining that the existent marketplace faces a “soft reversal point.” 

Using the Bitcoin futures presumption dominance chart, the expert explained that the terms dip is perchance owed to agelong positions taking profits astatine resistance, which is supported by assertive abbreviated volume. Adler Jr said

“This is simply a classical “soft reversal point” aft an uptrend: arsenic agelong arsenic backing remains affirmative but unfastened involvement is declining, you should expect a short-term correction oregon consolidation beneath $108K.”
Cryptocurrencies, Israel, Bitcoin Price, Iran, Markets, Price Analysis, Market AnalysisBitcoin futures positions dominance chart. Source: Axel Adler Jr/X

While a consolidation adjacent $108,000 should not interruption bullish momentum, fractal investigation outlines the anticipation of a deeper drawdown. 

Related: Bitcoin adoption fueled by ‘deglobalization,’ Trump’s ‘big, beauteous bill’

Is Bitcoin falling into a bull trap? 

Bitcoin’s caller rally to $110,000 from $100,500 represents a akin setup from January 2025, erstwhile BTC prices rebounded to $102,700 from $91,700. The existent reflection reveals a compelling fractal signifier with perchance bearish implications. A fractal signifier is simply a repeating inclination that could pb to akin terms enactment owed to identical marketplace conditions. As illustrated successful the chart, the signifier tin beryllium summarised successful 3 akin signals: 

  • BTC terms broke a descending trendline signifier aft absorbing 3-4 weeks of trailing liquidity, and formed a bullish interruption of operation connected the regular chart. 

  • BTC failed to instrumentality the erstwhile high, which, successful some cases, was the all-time precocious level. 

  • The comparative spot scale slipped beneath 50 earlier recovering and deed a rejection astatine 60.

Bitcoin fractal investigation connected the 1-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Bitcoin could look a crisp rejection if this fractal holds, perchance plummeting to $100,000, wherever important enactment lies, arsenic indicated by the chart’s liquidity zone. Validation of this fractal investigation requires the terms to proceed declining beneath Monday’s lows of astir $105,000.

This raises the interest of a imaginable bull trap for BTC, wherever the crypto plus could awesome the opening of a multi-week drawdown. Invalidation would hap if Bitcoin reclaims and sustains supra $108,000, negating the failed precocious and suggesting a bullish continuation. 

Related: Bitcoin bulls halt $4K BTC terms dip arsenic US dollar hits caller 3-year lows

This nonfiction does not incorporate concern proposal oregon recommendations. Every concern and trading determination involves risk, and readers should behaviour their ain probe erstwhile making a decision.

View source