Bitcoin analyst predicts 35% rally after 9th bullish RSI signal fires

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Key takeaways:

  • Bitcoin’s play stochastic RSI has triggered its 9th bullish awesome this cycle.

  • Analysts spot imaginable upside toward $155,000–$200,000 if past repeats.

  • Short-term liquidity pressures and the FOMC determination could thrust BTC terms volatility.

Bitcoin (BTC) continues to consolidate supra $115,000 arsenic traders brace for the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) involvement complaint determination connected Wednesday. The contiguous absorption for BTC remains betwixt $117,000 and $118,000, and a breakout supra this level could awesome a large structural displacement connected higher clip framework charts.

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market AnalysisBitcoin one-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Market optimism has been fueled by method signals. Crypto capitalist Jelle points retired that the play stochastic comparative spot scale (RSI) has erstwhile again turned bullish, a improvement that has occurred 9 times antecedently successful the existent cycle. On average, each of these crossovers has triggered a 35% rally, which, if repeated, would pb Bitcoin toward $155,000.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin web economist Timothy Peterson argues that portion helium is not a believer successful chart-based method analysis, repeating rhythm patterns connection a beardown roadmap. Peterson’s exemplary suggests that Bitcoin could scope $200,000 wrong 170 days, giving specified an result amended than adjacent odds.

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market AnalysisBitcoin investigation by Timothy Peterson. Source: X

However, short-term terms enactment remains clouded with caution. Analyst Skew highlighted that caller ask-bid liquidity (short-positioned) has clustered adjacent $116,000, describing it arsenic the existent “consensus trade” up of the Fed decision.

Skew said that persistent proviso and offloading into rallies amusement the marketplace remains top-heavy, and warns that this setup whitethorn beryllium the effect of marketplace shaper manipulation alternatively than integrated positioning.

Related: Bitcoin eyes agelong liquidations arsenic golden passes $3.7K for archetypal time

Markets are divided connected Bitcoin’s longer-term prospects

The broader marketplace communicative shows a disagreement oregon thought among traders. Despite expectations of up to 3 involvement complaint cuts aboriginal this year, Data from CryptoQuant recovered that 8 of 10 bull marketplace indicators person already turned bearish, reflecting cooling momentum. That being said, immoderate traders judge the macroeconomic backdrop inactive favors Bitcoin. 

🚨 ALERT: 8 retired of 10 Bitcoin bull marketplace indicators person turned bearish, with “momentum intelligibly cooling,” according to a CryptoQuant analyst. pic.twitter.com/2ioC1b5Oxb

— Cointelegraph (@Cointelegraph) September 12, 2025

RookieXBT emphasized that the dollar Index sits astatine 15-year support, portion equities and commodities awesome spot arsenic the S&P 500 has rallied 12% this twelvemonth to caller highs, and golden is up 40% successful 2025 aft years of stagnation.

Against this backdrop, the trader said that hazard assets similar Bitcoin could proceed benefiting from liquidity maturation and economical expansion.

Onchain signals besides thin supportive. According to trader Darkfost, short-term holder whales are back successful profit aft defending the $108,000 to $109,000 portion earlier this month. Similar defenses successful the past person often acceptable the signifier for a bullish rally, arsenic identified successful March and April 2025.

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market AnalysisBitcoin short-term holder unrealized nett and loss. Source: X

With Bitcoin trading conscionable 8% beneath its all-time high, the marketplace sits astatine a crossroads. Whether the latest RSI awesome delivers different cycle-defining rally oregon whether macro headwinds headdress momentum, the result of this week’s FOMC determination could beryllium decisive.

Related: Bitcoin’s illiquid proviso could deed 8.3M by 2032: Fidelity

This nonfiction does not incorporate concern proposal oregon recommendations. Every concern and trading determination involves risk, and readers should behaviour their ain probe erstwhile making a decision.

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