US government shutdown may signal crypto market bottom: Analysts

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The United States authorities entered its archetypal shutdown successful six years connected Wednesday, a governmental standoff that coincided with a emergence successful Bitcoin and golden arsenic investors sought safe-haven assets.

The US authorities is experiencing its archetypal shutdown since the 35-day closure successful December 2018, stemming from heavy partisan divisions that person made Congress incapable to walk a cardinal backing measure needed for the 2026 fiscal year.

The main quality stems from a impermanent backing measure, known arsenic a continuing resolution. The Republicans precocious the CR without further argumentation changes requested by Democratic Party members, led by Senator Chuck Schumer, who demanded a imperishable hold of Affordable Care Act taxation credits, which they said would forestall millions from losing healthcare coverage.

Source: Congressional Research Service, ninjobi

Bitcoin (BTC) roseate 2.9% successful the past 24 hours and traded astatine $116,427 astatine the clip of writing, according to Cointelegraph data. Gold prices besides roseate 0.7%, signaling that ample capitalist request for safe-haven assets whitethorn beryllium expanding owed to the uncertainty surrounding the duration of the authorities shutdown.

BTC/USD, one-month chart. Source: Cointelegraph

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US authorities shutdown whitethorn awesome altcoin bottom

Both Bitcoin and the S&P 500 whitethorn payment from the authorities shutdown, arsenic it is apt to effect successful a play marked by little US involvement rates, according to Ryan Lee, main expert astatine cryptocurrency speech Bitget.

“Bitcoin is bound to besides payment from this shutdown, arsenic its immunity to authorities and governmental uncertainties volition marque it charismatic to mainstream accepted investors,” Lee told Cointelegraph. “While corrections are apt on the way, astir promising altcoins successful the marketplace look to person bottomed out.” 

Bitcoin reclaiming the $116,000 level is already a affirmative motion for the wider cryptocurrency market, which is heading into the “historically affirmative period of October,” and whitethorn acceptable the code for the remainder of the year, Lee said.

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Global equity and integer plus markets person antecedently shown mixed reactions to authorities shutdowns.

During the 2013 authorities shutdown, stocks fell and Bitcoin rallied, portion the 2019 shutdown saw some equities and Bitcoin valuations falling, according to macro concern assets Milk Road Macro.

“Shutdowns ever disrupt the travel of government, but the market’s absorption is ne'er uniform,” it wrote successful a Tuesday X post.

Source: Milk Road Macro

Following erstwhile authorities shutdowns, the US Federal Reserve has go much dovish successful its attack to involvement complaint policy, resulting successful an mean yearly emergence of 13% for the S&P 500, according to the Kobeissi Letter, a trading resource.

“Historically, the marketplace really WELCOMES shutdowns,” it wrote successful a Wednesday X post.

Odds of the authorities shutdown ending by Oct. 15. Source: Polymarket

On prediction marketplace level Polymarket, traders spot a 38% chance the shutdown volition extremity by Oct. 15.

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