Norwegian Officials Probe Major Polymarket Bets on Nobel Peace Winner

A trader with a caller relationship and nary anterior betting past placed a $70,000 stake connected Venezuelan absorption person Maria Corina Machado winning the prize.

Oct 11, 2025, 2:27 p.m.

Norwegian officials are investigating a imaginable leak aft ample bets were placed connected the Nobel Peace Prize result connected Polymarket conscionable hours earlier it became public.

Venezuelan absorption person Maria Corina Machado, who won the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize for her relation successful the combat for democracy, saw a spike successful bets connected her triumph connected the prediction markets hours earlier the authoritative announcement, Bloomberg reported.

The spike was truthful notable that Polymarket’s authoritative account posted connected societal media astir it.

A trader utilizing the grip “dirtycup” placed a adjacent $70,000 stake connected Machado and walked distant with astir $30,000 successful profit, without adding immoderate different benignant of exposure. The relationship had been opened lone weeks earlier and had nary anterior betting history, according to Polymarket data.

Two different accounts besides focused solely connected Machado and earned a combined $90,000, section Norwegian outlet Finansavisen reported.

“We instrumentality this precise seriously,” said Kristian Berg Harpviken, manager of the Norwegian Nobel Institute. “It seems we person been prey to a transgression histrion who wants to gain wealth connected our information.”

While the Nobel Peace Prize enactment process is known for its secrecy, the committee had reportedly made its determination days earlier. The committee is present reviewing the situation.

Polymarket allows users to stake connected real-world events, from elections to personage gossip. Its founder, Shayne Coplan, became the world’s youngest self-made billionaire aft the firm saw $2 cardinal investment from the proprietor of the New York Stock Exchange.

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