European economy on the brink of recession as Q3 GDP contracts by 0.1%

1 year ago

Quick Take

Recent information investigation paints a precarious representation for the European economy. Q3 2023 GDP figures exemplify a contraction of -0.1%, defying the forecast for a level rate. This downturn marks a important infinitesimal for the European economy, arsenic different consequent antagonistic 4th could officially wedge Europe into a recessionary period.

This economical backdrop is further nuanced by the ostentation figures. The header ostentation complaint for Europe was little than the projected 3.1%, registering astatine 2.9% twelvemonth implicit year. Despite this dip, halfway ostentation remained dependable astatine 4.2% twelvemonth implicit year, matching statement expectations. Despite declining header inflation, the halfway ostentation complaint remained astatine 4.2% yearly. However, it’s worthy noting that this fig is treble the emblematic ostentation people acceptable by cardinal banks.

These data, taken together, suggest a bid of fiscal challenges facing the European economy. GDP contraction coupled with a dip successful header inflation, yet dependable halfway inflation, could perchance awesome an economical imbalance that needs addressing.

The impending question is whether Europe tin stave disconnected different antagonistic 4th and efficaciously skirt a recession. The interplay betwixt GDP and ostentation figures volition undoubtedly beryllium a cardinal watchpoint successful the ensuing quarters.

EU GDP and Inflation data Actual Previous Consensus
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Flash Q3 -0.1% 0.1% 0%
GDP Growth Rate YoY Flash Q3 0.1% 0.5% 0.2%
Inflation Rate YoY Flash, October 2.9% 4.3% 3.1%
Core Inflation Rate YoY Flash, October 4.2% 4.5% 4.2%
Inflation Rate MoM Flash, October 0.1% 0.3%
CPI Flash, October 124.55 124.4

EU GDP and ostentation data: (Source: Trading Economics)

The station European system connected the brink of recession arsenic Q3 GDP contracts by 0.1% appeared archetypal connected CryptoSlate.

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