Historical information suggests that bitcoin (BTC) has apt enactment successful its September 2025 low, astir $107,000 connected the archetypal of the month.
Looking backmost to July 2024, a accordant signifier emerges wherever bitcoin tends to signifier a bottommost for the period wrong the archetypal 10 days of each month.
The notable exceptions were February, June and August 2025, erstwhile the lows came aboriginal successful the month, but adjacent then, the marketplace experienced a correction wrong those archetypal 10 days earlier resuming its broader trend.
Speculatively, the crushed bitcoin often puts successful its debased wrong the archetypal 10 days of the period could beryllium tied to organization portfolio rebalancing oregon the timing of cardinal macroeconomic events that thin to clump aboriginal successful the month.
"It’s worthy noting that respective futures and options markets expire connected the last time of the period oregon the archetypal time of the next, this tin pb to abbreviated word volatility and a consequent lull successful trading enactment arsenic traders either rollover trades oregon reposition entirely,” said Oliver Knight, lawman managing editor, information and tokens, astatine CoinDesk.
Of course, past show is not a warrant of aboriginal results, but arsenic Q4 approaches it is worthy noting that this 4th has historically been bitcoin’s strongest, delivering an mean instrumentality of 85%. October successful peculiar has been particularly favorable, with lone 2 losing months since 2013.