Bitcoin rebounds as traders spot China ‘weaker yuan’ chart, but US trade war caps $80K BTC rally

2 months ago

Bitcoin (BTC) danced astir $80,000 astatine the April 8 Wall Street unfastened arsenic US banal markets staged a caller recovery, but unresolved tensions betwixt China and the US proceed to enactment a damper connected BTC’s upside.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Hayes: Bitcoin tin repetition historical China inflows

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC terms volatility cooling portion the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite Index gained up to 4.3% successful the archetypal fewer hours of trading.

Stocks built connected a strong rebound that had accompanied the commencement of the week’s TradFi trading, alleviating fears of a 1987 “Black Monday” benignant crash. 

US commercialized tariffs nevertheless stayed apical of the docket for traders, who successful peculiar eyed the ongoing warfare of words with China.

In a post connected Truth Social, US President Donald Trump claimed that Beijing “wants to marque a deal, badly, but they don't cognize however to get it started.”

“We are waiting for their call,” helium told readers.

Source: Truth Social

Bitcoin advocates eyed the devaluation of the yuan arsenic portion of China’s tariff effect and the imaginable inflows to hedges specified arsenic BTC arsenic a result.

“Xi's large limb is autarkic monetary argumentation which necessitates a weaker yuan,” Arthur Hayes, ex-CEO of crypto speech BitMEX, wrote successful portion of X sum of the topic.

Hayes suggested that either the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) oregon the US Federal Reserve would yet supply the substance for a BTC terms rally.

“If not the Fed past the PBOC volition springiness america the yachtzee ingredients,” helium argued successful his diagnostic style. 

“CNY deval = communicative that Chinese superior formation volition travel into $BTC. It worked successful 2013 , 2015, and tin enactment successful 2025. Ignore China astatine your ain peril.”

USD/CNY 3-day chart. Source: Cointelelgraph/TradingView

The Fed, meanwhile, could boost Bitcoin and hazard assets by lowering involvement rates to stimulate growth. In a blog post connected the day, AllianceBernstein predicted this happening adjacent arsenic tariffs added to inflationary pressures.

“If the system slows, arsenic we expect it will, the Fed volition beryllium inclined to chopped rates adjacent if terms levels are high,” Eric Winograd, the firm’s Developed Market Economic Research manager wrote. 

“The presumption is that existent ostentation tells america what the system was doing but not what it volition do. The Fed has chopped rates earlier with ostentation elevated, and we expect it to bash truthful again unless—a precise large ‘unless’—inflation expectations go unanchored.”

Fed people complaint probabilities (screenshot). Source: CME Group

Winograd said that AllianceBernstein expected 75 ground points of complaint cuts successful 2025, with the latest information from CME Group’s FedWatch Tool showing markets betting connected the archetypal of these coming astatine the Fed’s June meeting.

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Fibonacci offers a “big level to watch” for BTC price

Considering the planetary marketplace tumult of the past 3 days, Bitcoin’s terms enactment has remained eerily chill connected the shorter timeframes arsenic drawback terms moves gave mode to consolidation.

For traders, among the cardinal levels to ticker was the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, presently adjacent $73,500.

“In a bull market, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement acts arsenic cardinal support,” fashionable trader Titan of Crypto explained, describing BTC/USD arsenic “in a reversal zone.”

“As agelong arsenic BTC closes supra it, the uptrend remains intact, adjacent with a wick below.”

BTC/USD 1-month illustration with Fibonacci levels. Source: Titan of Crypto/X

Fellow trader Daan Crypto Trades besides underscored the level’s imaginable significance, with it coinciding with aged all-time highs from March 2024.

“$BTC Has respected its .382 Fibonacci retracements, measured from the rhythm bottommost to the section tops, rather good truthful far,” helium told X followers. 

“This is the 3rd clip we get specified a trial this cycle. This clip we got immoderate confluence from the 2024 highs arsenic well. Big level to watch.”

Other important inclination lines, arsenic Cointelegraph reported, see the 200-day elemental moving mean (SMA), a classical bull marketplace enactment enactment that was mislaid erstwhile BTC archetypal fell beneath $82,000.

BTC/USD 1-day illustration with 200 SMA. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

This nonfiction does not incorporate concern proposal oregon recommendations. Every concern and trading determination involves risk, and readers should behaviour their ain probe erstwhile making a decision.

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