Bitcoin pushes for $118K as analysis calls US gov’t shutdown ‘non-event’

2 hours ago

Key points:

  • Bitcoin is trying to interruption $118,000 for the archetypal clip since mid-August.

  • US labour marketplace weakness drives crypto and hazard assets higher contempt the US authorities shutdown.

  • Any dips are “buy opportunities,” BTC terms investigation says.

Bitcoin (BTC) sought six-week highs aft Wednesday’s Wall Street unfastened arsenic markets shrugged disconnected the US authorities shutdown.

BTC/USD four-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView


Bitcoin starts October with scope breakout attempt

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed that BTC/USD reached $117,713 pursuing anemic US jobs data.

The brace came wrong $150 of beating its September maximum — doing truthful would pb it to its highest levels since Aug. 17.

“Bitcoin is trying to breakout from its Monthly Range already connected the archetypal time of the caller period of October,” fashionable trader and expert Rekt Capital summarized successful his latest commentary connected X.

BTC/USD one-month chart. Source: Rekt Capital/X

US private-sector employment numbers came successful importantly beneath expectations, turning antagonistic erstwhile estimates had projected a summation of 45,000 jobs for September.

Labor marketplace weakness is considered a tailwind for crypto arsenic it heightens the likelihood of interest-rate cuts and frankincense accrued superior inflows.

The latest information from CME Group’s FedWatch Tool showed that markets were overwhelmingly betting connected the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 0.25% astatine its October meeting.

Fed people complaint probabilities for October FOMC gathering (screenshot). Source: CME Group


Continuing, chap trader Jelle described BTC terms enactment arsenic “pushing done the absorption similar it isn’t adjacent there.”

“One past happening to 'worry' about: a expanse of the September highs. Clear those, and the bears volition person precise small limb to basal on. Higher,” helium told X followers.

BTC/USD chart. Source: Jelle/X

Others focused connected imaginable enactment retests, with trading relationship Daan Crypto Trades flagging $112,000 arsenic “key short-term support.”

“Ideally don’t privation to spot terms re-visit that,” helium wrote alongside a illustration showing a transmission that terms was attempting to interruption through. 

“Up to the bulls to instrumentality it from here, a due breakout & immoderate regular closes supra the transmission would awesome this is acceptable for a determination to caller highs to me.”
BTC/USD one-day chart. Source: Daan Crypto Trades/X

The caller US authorities shutdown, meanwhile, failed to interaction the buoyant temper crossed hazard assets.

Related: BTC terms owed for $108K ping pong: 5 things to cognize successful Bitcoin this week

Both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite Index opened modestly higher, portion golden consolidated aft hitting its latest caller all-time highs earlier successful the day.

Commenting, trading institution QCP Capital stated that the shutdown should beryllium of small importance.

“On fiscal theatre, a U.S. authorities shutdown should beryllium a marketplace non-event beyond information delays and header noise,” it argued successful its latest “Asia Color” probe post. 

“Essential services continue, back-pay limits income effects, and past episodes person not derailed hazard assets.”
BTC/USD vs. S&P 500 one-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

QCP noted that during the 2018 shutdown, the S&P 500 ended 10% higher.

“Given BTC’s elevated beta to equities, we spot shutdown-related dips arsenic bargain opportunities alternatively than chasing gap-ups,” it concluded.

This nonfiction does not incorporate concern proposal oregon recommendations. Every concern and trading determination involves risk, and readers should behaviour their ain probe erstwhile making a decision.

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