Bitcoin price starts $112K breakout as Fed rate-cut odds pass 98%

3 hours ago

Key points:

  • Bitcoin brings upside volatility into the play adjacent with a complaint done $112,000 resistance.

  • Traders anticipation for caller section highs adjacent arsenic the BTC terms betterment continues.

  • The US Federal Reserve is tipped to chopped involvement rates again adjacent week.

Bitcoin (BTC) challenged $112,000 into Sunday’s play adjacent arsenic traders hoped for caller section highs.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView


Bitcoin eyes traders’ targets successful caller volatility

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView indicated that a range-bound BTC terms enactment characterized the weekend.

A precocious rebound connected Friday helped bulls determination to a higher level successful the week’s range, helped by pleasing US ostentation data.

Now, marketplace participants saw the imaginable for caller highs to emerge, with the play adjacent typically experiencing accrued volatility.

— Crypto Tony (@CryptoTony__) October 26, 2025

Trader Crypto Caesar observed the $112,000 absorption level being retested connected the day.

“A CLEAN interruption and adjacent supra it could corroborate a bullish continuation toward $123K,” helium wrote successful a station connected X.

BTC/USDT perpetual declaration one-day chart. Source: Crypto Caesar/X


Crypto capitalist and entrepreneur Ted Pillows had akin ideas.

“$BTC seems to beryllium successful a short-term uptrend. 4 consecutive greenish regular candles, which means idiosyncratic is consistently TWAPing Bitcoin here,” helium told X followers connected the day. 

“I'm inactive eyeing a $112,000-$114,000 zone, arsenic a reclaim could propulsion BTC supra $118,000 truly soon.”
BTC/USDT one-day chart. Source: Ted Pillows/X


Others waited successful the wings, with the X analytics relationship named aft celebrated economist Frank Fetter “watching” for a interruption of $113,000.

Watching $BTC. pic.twitter.com/8FOK6ntCxo

— Frank (@FrankAFetter) October 25, 2025

This, it added past week, represented the existent aggregate outgo ground for Bitcoin’s short-term holders — entities hodling for up to six months.

“If BTC tin reclaim the short-term holder outgo ground astatine $113k, a determination into the bluish set of $130k – $144k feels right,” it said.

Bitcoin STH outgo basis. Source: Frank A. Fetter/X

Fed rate-cut likelihood boost risk-asset play

Looking ahead, the coming week holds different cardinal lawsuit for crypto and risk-asset investors.

Related: Worst Uptober ever? Bitcoin terms risks archetypal ‘red’ October successful years

The US Federal Reserve, caller from cooler-than-expected ostentation numbers, was expected to chopped involvement rates by 0.25% astatine its Oct. 29 meeting.

Data from CME Group’s FedWatch Tool enactment the likelihood of that result astatine much than 98% astatine the clip of writing.

Fed people complaint probabilities for October FOMC gathering (screenshot). Source: CME Group


Commenting, trading assets The Kobeissi Letter enactment the Fed’s cuts successful discourse arsenic portion of a worldwide rates “pivot” by cardinal banks.

“So far, 82% of satellite cardinal banks person chopped rates implicit the past 6 months, the highest stock since 2020. This century, cardinal banks person slashed rates astatine a gait lone seen during recessions,” it wrote connected X

“Global monetary easing is successful afloat swing.”
Global cardinal slope interest-rate data. Source: The Kobeissi Letter/X

This nonfiction does not incorporate concern proposal oregon recommendations. Every concern and trading determination involves risk, and readers should behaviour their ain probe erstwhile making a decision.

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