Bitcoin price at risk of new 5-month low near $71K if tariff war and stock market tumult continues

2 months ago

Bitcoin (BTC) terms made a swift determination to $78,300 astatine the April 9 Wall Street unfastened arsenic “herd-like” terms enactment successful equities markets continued to spook risk-asset traders.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Bitcoin gyrates arsenic stocks marque history

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD retargeting five-month lows nether $75,000 earlier rebounding starring into the NY trading session.

A deepening US-China commercialized warfare kept stocks connected their toes, having cost Bitcoin the $80,000 mark the time prior.

Highly antithetic marketplace behaviour had accompanied US tariff announcements, and China’s effect with reciprocal tariffs saw the S&P 500 smash records with its roundtrip from lows to highs and back.

“On a constituent basis, the S&P 500 conscionable posted its largest intraday reversal successful history, adjacent larger than 2020, 2008 and 2001,” trading assets The Kobeissi Letter confirmed successful ongoing marketplace sum connected X. 

“You person conscionable witnessed history.”

S&P 500 chart. Source: The Kobeissi Letter/X

Kobeissi drew attraction to volatility kicking successful from the smallest of triggers, with markets peculiarly delicate to statements from US President Donald Trump.

“The occupation with markets close now: Both bulls AND bears consciousness ‘uncomfortable’ successful these marketplace conditions,” it explained connected the day.

“Why? Because stocks tin plaything $5+ trillion successful marketplace headdress connected the ground of a azygous station from a azygous person: President Trump. This is wherefore we are seeing ‘herd-like’ terms action, wherever ample regular gains crook into ample regular losses, and vice-versa.”

Crypto Fear & Greed Index (screenshot). Source: Alternative.me

Crypto was nary objection to the tug-of-war, with the Crypto Fear & Greed Index dropping to its lowest levels since aboriginal March.

For Keith Alan, co-founder of trading assets Material Indicators, the presumption quo was improbable to amended successful the abbreviated term.

“Part of maine wants to beryllium connected my hands and hold for this crap tempest to pass,” helium told X followers portion examining bid publication conditions for Ether (ETH) and Solana (SOL).

“Because I don't deliberation it is going to walk quickly, I'm not excessively anxious to buy, adjacent though immoderate of these assets are connected merchantability astatine large prices. That said, the information that bids are piling successful connected immoderate assets makes them precise enticing.”

Related: Black Monday 2.0? 5 things to cognize successful Bitcoin this week

CME “gap” creates BTC terms absorption supra $82,000

Focusing connected BTC terms action, fashionable trader and expert Rekt Capital revealed a caller adjacent absorption level successful the signifier of a caller “gap” successful CME Group’s Bitcoin futures.

“On the CME Futures Bitcoin chart, terms broke down from its sideways scope (black-black),” helium wrote alongside a illustration showing the spread betwixt $82,000 and $85,000.

“In confirming the breakdown from the scope via a bearish retest, Bitcoin filled the CME Gap (red circle) successful the process. That CME Gap is present a resistance.”

CME Bitcoin futures 1-week illustration with spread highlighted. Source: Rekt Capital/X

Further investigation gave a caller BTC terms scope with $71,000 arsenic its little bound based connected erstwhile trading volumes.

“Bitcoin is experiencing downside continuation aft upside wicking into the aboriginal March Weekly lows (red),” Rekt Capital summarized.

“Having confirmed this reddish level arsenic caller resistance, BTC is present dropping into the $71,000-$83,000 Volume Gap to capable this marketplace inefficiency.”

BTC/USD 1-week illustration with measurement data. Source: Rekt Capital/X

As Cointelegraph reported, Rekt Capital is among those seeing a imaginable semipermanent reversal constituent astatine $70,000 oregon marginally lower.

This nonfiction does not incorporate concern proposal oregon recommendations. Every concern and trading determination involves risk, and readers should behaviour their ain probe erstwhile making a decision.

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