Bitcoin Bull Run Is Over? These Signals Show Where The Market Is At

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Bitcoin (BTC) has entered a captious signifier successful its cycle, prompting analysts to statement whether the long-standing bull tally is yet nearing its peak. With volatility tightening and humanities rhythm information indicating a perchance explosive breakout, marketplace experts are intimately watching the adjacent fewer weeks for signals that uncover the market’s existent position and aboriginal direction.

Bitcoin Bull Run Cycle Nears Endgame

Market analyst, ‘CRYPTOBIRD’ has warned that the Bitcoin bull tally could end wrong 30 days. In a thread connected X societal media, helium noted that this existent rhythm has present reached 1,038 days since the November 2022 bottom, which is equivalent to 97.5% of a modular cycle. Historically, the last 2.5% of Bitcoin’s bull runs person delivered the most melodramatic terms surges, often catching some retail and organization investors disconnected guard.

Examining the rhythm bottom-to-top chart, BTC’s existent marketplace operation aligns intimately with that of past cycles, wherever it experienced its largest accelerations conscionable earlier rhythm completion. The achromatic enactment representing the existent 2022-2025 trajectory shows Bitcoin consolidating aft beardown gains, overmuch similar the 2016 and 2020 cycles earlier their peaks.

From a method standpoint, the adept notes that BTC is trading successful an unusually choky 5% scope betwixt $110,500 and $116,000, signaling dense compression. However, the cryptocurrency precocious broke down again and is present sitting somewhat supra $109,600.

CRYPTOBIRD highlights cardinal levels: 200-week SMA astatine $53,111 acting arsenic semipermanent macro support, the 50-week SMA adjacent $99,000 arsenic the bull marketplace level and the SPX correlation (-0.19). The expert explained that short-term structures stay mixed, with High Time Frame (HTF) support astatine $111,296 inactive intact. However, compression has created conditions wherever immoderate breakout could acceptable the code for the remainder of the year.

Furthermore, the Current Trend Framework (CTF) is astatine $114,916, signaling bearish periods. Presently, terms is gravitating toward the 200-day BPRO astatine $112,250, and if Bitcoin tin clasp supra it, bulls could stay successful control.

Halving Math Signals Final BTC Breakdown

Continuing his analysis, CRYPTOBIRD emphasized that Bitcoin is present 523 days post-halving, placing it firmly wrong the humanities “peak window” of 518-580 days aft each halving event. Every erstwhile large cycle top has occurred successful this nonstop range, suggesting Bitcoin is entering the statistical saccharine spot for its last move.

Adding to the setup is the market’s contiguous volatility squeeze. Average True Range (ATR) has dropped to 2,250, its lowest speechmaking of 2025, portion 50-day volatility sits astatine 2,800. The expert notes that specified compressed volatility seldom lasts and typically precedes a convulsive breakout wrong 2 to 4 weeks.

Institutions besides look to beryllium positioning accordingly, with Bitcoin ETF flows showing distribution. Sentiment indicators adhd different layer, arsenic the Fear and Greed scale stands astatine 44, indicating rising fear alternatively than euphoria. Meanwhile, RSI is neutral astatine 46, suggesting that momentum has cooled but not collapsed.

Despite September’s estimation arsenic Bitcoin’s weakest month, CRYPTOBIRD notes that it gained 4.4% month-to-date, defying its humanities 6.2% decline. This anomaly, combined with October, which is typically seen arsenic a greenish month, could acceptable the signifier for a bullish Q4.