Asia Morning Briefing: Bitcoin Bulls Laser Focused on $120K Despite Trump-Musk Turmoil

1 week ago

Good Morning, Asia. Here's what's making quality successful the markets:

Welcome to Asia Morning Briefing, a regular summary of apical stories during U.S. hours and an overview of marketplace moves and analysis. For a elaborate overview of U.S. markets, spot CoinDesk's Crypto Daybook Americas.

Bitcoin BTC is trading supra $101.5K arsenic Asia begins its trading day, shrugging disconnected caller tariff uncertainties from the Trump administration.

However, the existent story, according to Semir Gabeljic, manager of superior enactment astatine Pythagoras Investments, is that traders proceed to beryllium laser-focused connected a bull marketplace passim the remainder of the year, with a precocious grade of assurance that BTC volition scope $120,000, buoyed by persistent firm buying and declining volatility.

"The uncertainty from unexpected tariff increases by the Trump medication is causing immoderate volatility," Gabeljic said successful an email to CoinDesk. "However, bitcoin remains comparatively strong, with little volatility compared to different integer assets."

Institutional bullishness remains resilient, Gabeljic highlighted, noting that traders connected Polymarket are "pricing successful a 69% probability that Bitcoin volition deed astatine slightest $120,000 by year-end."

FlowDesk, a Paris-based marketplace maker, echoed this optimistic outlook contempt caller subdued marketplace conditions successful a caller enactment connected Telegram.

"The marketplace is intelligibly coiling, waiting to interruption retired of a constrictive set conscionable beneath all-time highs," FlowDesk wrote successful their marketplace update note. "Significant repositioning and rotation from Bitcoin towards altcoins has occurred, though BTC's underlying spot remains evident."

FlowDesk besides noted cautious marketplace behavior, arsenic indicated by a humble diminution successful BTC backing rates connected large exchanges similar Binance, which suggests a simplification successful leverage. However, on-chain borrowing enactment has seen renewed vigor, perchance signaling anticipation of an imminent marketplace breakout.

Further bolstering the bullish BTC communicative is the continued accumulation by firm treasuries.

Listed companies present clasp astir 809,100 BTC, worthy astir $85 billion, astir doubling the magnitude held a twelvemonth ago, driven by favorable regulatory shifts and accounting changes that let for the designation of bitcoin gains.

"The anticipation of a continued beardown bitcoin remains," said Gabeljic.

(CoinDesk)

News Roundup

$TRUMP Token Drops 9% arsenic Musk-Trump Feud, Family Crypto Clash Spook Investors

The presidential-themed $TRUMP memecoin fell 9.3% connected Thursday, importantly underperforming the broader crypto marketplace arsenic tracked by the CoinDesk 20, an scale covering the largest integer assets, which declined 5%.

The token’s crisp downturn followed a heated nationalist speech betwixt President Donald Trump and Elon Musk, sparked by disagreements implicit Trump’s projected “Big, Beautiful Bill” and its interaction connected nationalist debt, CoinDesk antecedently reported.

The statement escalated quickly, with Musk threatening to crushed SpaceX’s Dragon spacecraft and Trump countering by suggesting the authorities mightiness sever contracts with Musk-led enterprises.

Further unit connected the memecoin came aft its recently launched crypto wallet, created successful concern with NFT marketplace Magic Eden, went offline pursuing a cease-and-desist from different Trump-affiliated crypto venture.

Trump’s sons publically distanced themselves from the memecoin project, highlighting their engagement successful a abstracted Ethereum-based DeFi initiative, World Liberty Financial. The interior branding clash added different furniture of uncertainty, amplifying capitalist concerns and weighing heavy connected the token’s price.

CRCL Soars connected First Day of Trading

Circle (CRCL) shares soared 167% connected their archetypal time of trading, closing astatine $83 aft pricing its IPO astatine $31, concisely hitting an intraday highest of $104. The surge recalls Coinbase's volatile 2021 IPO, which likewise started beardown but rapidly mislaid momentum, raising caution among investors astir semipermanent stability.

The leap successful Circle's banal terms came amid a humble uptick successful stablecoin marketplace activity. Trading measurement for Circle's USDC roseate 22% implicit the past 24 hours, portion marketplace person Tether's USDT saw measurement summation by 13%. Despite the bullish debut, the coming weeks volition trial Circle’s staying powerfulness arsenic investors measure whether enthusiasm astir stablecoin infrastructure translates into sustained banal performance.

U.S. Treasury Sanctions Philippines Firm Linked to $200M 'Pig Butchering' Crypto Scams

The U.S. Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) sanctioned Philippines-based tech steadfast Funnull Technology Inc. and its administrator, Liu Lizhi, for facilitating "pig butchering" crypto scams liable for implicit $200 cardinal successful losses from U.S. victims, CoinDesk antecedently reported.

OFAC accused Funnull Technology of providing integer infrastructure, specified arsenic IP addresses and domains, utilized by cybercriminals to big hundreds of thousands of scam websites designed to deceive victims into fraudulent crypto investments.

"Pig butchering" refers to elaborate crypto scams that groom victims implicit time, often opening done unsolicited messages and fake romanticist overtures, earlier convincing them to put important sums. With these sanctions, OFAC prohibits immoderate U.S. persons from engaging successful transactions with Funnull oregon Liu, aiming to disrupt the networks enabling these extended cyber scams and to safeguard investors successful the integer plus ecosystem.

Market Movements:

  • BTC: Bitcoin dropped astir 4% to trial the $100K enactment level earlier rebounding supra $101.5K, arsenic high-volume selling and large speech outflows signaled increasing marketplace accent amid weakening retail activity.
  • ETH: Ethereum dropped 4% aft repeatedly failing to surpass the captious $2,640 absorption level, contempt accrued organization buying and notable whale accumulation of implicit $285 cardinal successful ETH.
  • Gold: Gold edged higher to $3,363.58 successful aboriginal Asian trading amid anemic U.S. economical information and signs of easing U.S.-China tensions, arsenic the Gold-Silver Ratio surged past 100—a uncommon awesome historically linked to outsized metallic returns.
  • Nikkei 225: Asia-Pacific markets opened higher, with Japan's Nikkei 225 up 0.14%, aft a affirmative 90-minute telephone betwixt U.S. President Trump and China's Xi Jinping acceptable the signifier for resumed commercialized negotiations.
  • S&P 500: U.S. banal futures flatlined arsenic a nationalist feud betwixt President Trump and Tesla CEO Elon Musk added uncertainty to marketplace sentiment.

Elsewhere successful Crypto:

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