Analyst sets $95,000 ceiling for Bitcoin fair value amid declining network activity

6 months ago

Bitcoin (BTC) web enactment has reached its lowest level successful a year, bringing its just worth to betwixt $48,000 and $95,000, according to CryptoQuant.

As of property time, Bitcoin was trading astatine astir $96,500, making the flagship crypto overvalued from a web enactment position based connected CryptoQuant’s valuation model.

The Bitcoin Network Activity Index has declined 15% since its highest successful November 2024. It is present astatine 3,760, the lowest level since February 2024.

A diminution successful the fig of transactions chiefly drives the alteration successful activity. The full regular transaction number is presently 346,000, marking a 53% driblet from the all-time precocious of 734,000 recorded successful September 2024.

Runes down successful popularity

The diminution successful web enactment is mostly driven by reduced usage of the Runes protocol for token minting connected Bitcoin. Runes relies connected OP_RETURN codes to store token-related data, but the fig of these codes utilized successful transactions has dropped significantly.

In April 2024, regular OP RETURN codes reached 802,000.  However, the fig has since dropped to a 10,000 regular mean successful January.

In April 2024, regular OP_RETURN codes peaked astatine 802,000 but person since fallen to an mean of 10,000 per time successful January.

As of Feb. 4, Runes-related transactions totaled 6,110, accounting for astir 2.5% of Bitcoin’s regular transaction volume, based connected information from a Dune Analytics dashboard created by Crypto Koryo.

From Jan. 1 to Feb. 4, Bitcoin transfers made up 73.5% of regular web activity, importantly surpassing transactions related to Ordinals, BRC-20 tokens, and Runes.

This diminution is besides evident successful Bitcoin’s mempool. Unconfirmed transactions person plummeted from 287,000 successful December 2024 to conscionable 3,000 — a 99% drop. The mempool past recorded specified debased enactment successful March 2022.

Despite signals that BTC whitethorn beryllium overpriced, Bitfinex said successful a recent report that Bitcoin remains resilient, adjacent aft the marketplace daze caused by President Donald Trump’s tariff plans.

In January, BTC outperformed the broader crypto marketplace by gaining 9.4%, portion the wider marketplace saw an mean diminution of 25.7%.

The station Analyst sets $95,000 ceiling for Bitcoin just worth amid declining web activity appeared archetypal connected CryptoSlate.

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